AISTIM / POLICY RESEARCH
Exclusive insights and research on US–China policy, trade, technology and industry.
China's industrial profits rose 15.5% in Jan-Sep, led by doubling electronics profits; CDB and Exim Bank completed RMB 365bn and RMB 120bn policy finance deployments on Oct 27; the Fed's Oct 27-28 meeting opened with markets pricing a hold in October and a hike in December; Nasdaq rose 1.18% on Oct 27.
Read article →The Fifth Plenary Session opened in Beijing on Oct 26; the PBOC rolled over 700 billion yuan of MLF and launched a bond-market NBFI swap facility; fiscal revenue rose 5.1% in the first three quarters; the Fed meets Oct 27-28 and is expected to hold; Anthropic filed its S-1 for a Nasdaq listing as ANT.
Read article →China's State Council discussed population policy and a fertility-friendly society; the informatization 15th Five-Year plan targets timely 6G use; the central bank runs a 700 billion yuan MLF operation on Oct 26; the Fed meets Oct 27-28 and is expected to hold; Anthropic's reported S-1 date is Oct 26.
Read article →China issued RMB 3,560.8 billion in new special bonds in the first nine months, an 81% progress rate, and pushed back against the US Treasury's new outbound-investment curbs; markets price only a 10% chance of a Fed hike on October 28, while Brent crude hit $116.72, its highest since June 2022.
Read article →Beijing released an "AI plus employment" guideline, the PBOC announced a 700 billion yuan 1-year MLF operation for Oct 26, and the finance ministry said the mortgage subsidy policy is running smoothly; with the Fed meeting on Oct 27-28, markets expect no change, and the first Russian diesel cargo under the Trump-Putin
Read article →China fused tech and industrial innovation in a top-level opinion; the Fed is priced for a 94% hold on Oct 28 as Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia pushed Brent to $113; DeepSeek raised about RMB 100B; Meta was hit with a $25B New Mexico court fine. Adds 4 A-share and 4 US stock watchlist names.
Read article →On October 19 the US sanctioned five Chinese entities including MiraclePlus under the Protecting American Intellectual Property Act; Beijing pushed back firmly on October 21. Jensen Huang's GTC Berlin keynote delivered the goods: the OpenShell agentic-AI reference architecture, the DSX POD AI-factory design, and nearly
Read article →USTR concluded its China semiconductor Section 301 probe: no new chip tariffs before June 23, 2027, with foundational chips keeping zero duties for 18 months. Jensen Huang lobbied Germany's chancellor to ease AI regulation ahead of his GTC Berlin keynote. The PHLX Semiconductor index snapped an eight-day losing streak.
Read article →PBOC governor Pan Gongsheng announced five new policy measures at the Financial Street Forum and signaled interest-rate framework reform; China's statistics bureau released Q3 data with GDP up 4.5% year-on-year; Trump paused new Russia sanctions for about 60 days as Brent crude retreated to $107.8–108.5 on Monday; the
Read article →China optimized drone export controls (effective Nov 18) and briefed its first tech-commerce policy; eight agencies issued an inspection pilot plan. Trump named DNI Jay Clayton as White House AI czar; Melania Trump pushed a women's-health order. A-shares rebounded, banks and robotics leading.
Read article →On Oct 16, Jakarta's Composite Index crashed 11.57% — worst single-day drop since 1998. Trigger: MSCI's proposal to cut Indonesia from 'emerging' straight to 'standalone' market. As the world's top exporter of thermal coal, palm oil and nickel, its turmoil transmits to commodities via currency and financing channels.
Read article →Fed in pre-meeting blackout; Trump says he is brokering Russia-Ukraine talks; oil retreated Monday. Nine Chinese agencies issued tech-commerce guidance, doubling down on 'AI + Manufacturing'. SCO leaders met in Dushanbe. A-shares mixed midday; Q3 preview wave continues; 4 US + 4 A-share names added.
Read article →